Nigeria’s telecommunications industry saw a dramatic 40.87% drop in Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), falling to $1.85 in Q3 2024 from $3.12 in the same period last year, underscoring the significant impact of the naira’s devaluation on the sector.
Significant drops in ARPU were reported in the financial reports of MTN Nigeria and Airtel Nigeria, with MTN falling to $2.09 (from $3.24) and Airtel to $1.60 (from $3). For the nine months ending in September 2024, MTN’s service revenue increased by 33.6% to ₦2.4 trillion, whilst Airtel’s revenue decreased by 46.87% to $755 million, despite these difficulties.
The naira’s depreciation, driven by the Central Bank of Nigeria’s foreign exchange unification policy, has severely impacted telcos. From N471/$ in June 2023, the naira plummeted to N1,690.37/$ by November 2024, leading to $1.56 billion in foreign exchange losses for telecom firms in 2023.
Operational costs have soared due to inflation, which reached 33.88% in October 2024. MTN reported a 95.87% increase in operating expenses to ₦1.13 trillion for the first nine months of 2024, while Airtel saw a 90% spike in diesel costs. Capital expenditures have also taken a hit, with MTN reducing spending by 27.79% and Airtel cutting by 36.59%.
Gbenga Adebayo, Chairman of the Association of Licensed Telecom Operators of Nigeria (ALTON), stressed the urgency of raising tariffs, stating, “We need a long-term, sustainable solution through collaboration with the government.” However, Minister of Communication, Innovation, and Digital Economy Bosun Tijani argued that tariffs alone cannot address the sector’s woes, emphasizing the need for broader reforms.
As telcos explore renewable energy and renegotiate contracts to lower costs, stakeholders warn that reduced investments in infrastructure will further erode service quality. Industry leaders are advocating for a balanced approach to pricing and regulation to ensure the sector’s sustainability.
Given the importance of connectivity in day-to-day living, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) has recognised the sensitivity of changing rates and is presently examining telcos’ petitions for price adjustments.